Friday's Seville quarterfinal pits Dusan Lajovic against Henrique Rocha on clay. Henrique Rocha comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Dusan Lajovic is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Lajovic comes in off a compressed schedule; Rocha comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Rocha is exactly that — a lean.