Friday's Porto quarterfinal pits Edas Butvilas against Jerome Kym on hard. Jerome Kym has won 7 of the last 10. Edas Butvilas is 6-4 across recent matches.
The serve is where this match separates: Kym has been winning 74.8% of first-serve points to Butvilas's 69.4%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Butvilas comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kym is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-122(55.0% Kym)
Market-118(54.0% Kym)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Edas Butvilas
1708
Jerome Kym
1750
Overall rating
Edas Butvilas
1680
Jerome Kym
1747
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Edas Butvilas
Jerome Kym
1st serve in
61.7%
62.4%
1st serve points won
69.4%
74.8%
2nd serve points won
49.1%
49.8%
Form
Edas Butvilas
6–4
Jerome Kym
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Edas Butvilas vs Jerome Kym?
Maiden gives Jerome Kym a 55% chance to beat Edas Butvilas in the Porto quarterfinal on October 2, 2026.
How confident is the Jerome Kym pick?
55% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 55%, picks in that range have won 56% of the time (490 so far). See the track record page for the full table.