Monday's Hamburg round of 32 pits Eduardo Ribeiro against Max Alcala Gurri on clay. Max Alcala Gurri comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Eduardo Ribeiro has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Gurri — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.