Toronto · QF · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elina Svitolina — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · August 11, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Elina Svitolina won 3-6 6-0 6-3
Nailed it. We had Elina Svitolina at 66% before the match, and Elina Svitolina won 3-6 6-0 6-3.
Tuesday's Toronto quarterfinal pits Ekaterina Alexandrova against Elina Svitolina on hard. Elina Svitolina has won 4 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall. Ekaterina Alexandrova is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.
Elina Svitolina simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Svitolina — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1839
Elina Svitolina
1963
Overall rating
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1879
Elina Svitolina
2040
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Elina Svitolina
1st serve in
58.9%
62.1%
1st serve points won
66.8%
63.4%
2nd serve points won
42.9%
44.6%
Form
Ekaterina Alexandrova
7–3
Elina Svitolina
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elina Svitolina at Toronto?
Elina Svitolina won 3-6 6-0 6-3.
Was the Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elina Svitolina prediction correct?
Nailed it. We had Elina Svitolina at 66% before the match, and Elina Svitolina won 3-6 6-0 6-3.