Ekaterina Alexandrova and Kamilla Rakhimova meet in the round of 16 at Tokyo on Wednesday. Ekaterina Alexandrova is 6-4 across recent matches. Kamilla Rakhimova limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

Alexandrova's 67.1% behind the first serve (against 62.3% for Rakhimova) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Alexandrova comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Alexandrova — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.