Leylah Fernandez won 4-6 6-2 6-1
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 50% on Ekaterina Alexandrova; Leylah Fernandez won 4-6 6-2 6-1.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Ekaterina Alexandrova goes up against Leylah Fernandez in the Ningbo quarterfinal. Ekaterina Alexandrova comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Leylah Fernandez has won 8 of the last 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Alexandrova is exactly that — a lean.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Leylah Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 58.9% | 61.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 67.1% | 64.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 43% | 46.2% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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