Ningbo · R16 · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 21, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Marta Kostyuk — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 21, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
Not graded
Ekaterina Alexandrova won by retirement (6-4)
This match ended in a retirement, advancing Ekaterina Alexandrova. It is excluded from our graded record — no pick is counted as right or wrong.
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Marta Kostyuk meet in the round of 16 at Ningbo on Wednesday. Marta Kostyuk limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Ekaterina Alexandrova limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Kostyuk.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1824
Marta Kostyuk
1901
Overall rating
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1866
Marta Kostyuk
2032
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Marta Kostyuk
1st serve in
58.9%
59.6%
1st serve points won
67.1%
63.8%
2nd serve points won
43%
43.1%
Form
Ekaterina Alexandrova
5–5
Marta Kostyuk
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Marta Kostyuk at Ningbo?
Ekaterina Alexandrova won 6-4 by retirement.
Was the Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Marta Kostyuk prediction correct?
This match ended in a retirement, advancing Ekaterina Alexandrova. It is excluded from our graded record — no pick is counted as right or wrong.