US Open · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Sep 4, 2026, 3:10 PM UTC
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Marta Kostyuk — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · September 4, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Marta Kostyuk won 6-3 6-2
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 67% on Marta Kostyuk, who won 6-3 6-2.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Ekaterina Alexandrova goes up against Marta Kostyuk in the US Open round of 32. Marta Kostyuk comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Ekaterina Alexandrova comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
Marta Kostyuk is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Kostyuk around 67%. The edge belongs to Kostyuk — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1803
Marta Kostyuk
1943
Overall rating
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1846
Marta Kostyuk
2073
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Marta Kostyuk
1st serve in
58.9%
59.6%
1st serve points won
67.1%
63.5%
2nd serve points won
43%
43.3%
Form
Ekaterina Alexandrova
6–4
Marta Kostyuk
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Marta Kostyuk at US Open?
Marta Kostyuk won 6-3 6-2.
Was the Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Marta Kostyuk prediction correct?
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 67% on Marta Kostyuk, who won 6-3 6-2.