Beijing · QF · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 8, 2026, 11:10 AM UTC
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 8, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✓ Pick right
Mirra Andreeva won 7-6 7-6
We got this one right. Mirra Andreeva was our 64% pick, and won 7-6 7-6.
Thursday's Beijing quarterfinal pits Ekaterina Alexandrova against Mirra Andreeva on hard. Mirra Andreeva brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Ekaterina Alexandrova is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Andreeva — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1839
Mirra Andreeva
1964
Overall rating
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1879
Mirra Andreeva
2052
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Mirra Andreeva
1st serve in
58.9%
62.9%
1st serve points won
67.1%
63.6%
2nd serve points won
43%
44.6%
Form
Ekaterina Alexandrova
6–4
Mirra Andreeva
8–2
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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