Toronto · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 6, 2026, 3:10 PM UTC
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Talia Gibson — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · August 6, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Ekaterina Alexandrova won 5-7 6-1 6-3
We got this one right. Ekaterina Alexandrova was our 55% pick, and won 5-7 6-1 6-3.
Thursday's Toronto round of 32 pits Ekaterina Alexandrova against Talia Gibson on hard. Ekaterina Alexandrova has won 5 of the last 10. Talia Gibson comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.
Alexandrova's 66.8% behind the first serve (against 63.6% for Gibson) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Little separates them; Alexandrova gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1839
Talia Gibson
1736
Overall rating
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1879
Talia Gibson
1689
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Talia Gibson
1st serve in
58.8%
62.3%
1st serve points won
66.8%
63.6%
2nd serve points won
42.7%
46.2%
Form
Ekaterina Alexandrova
5–5
Talia Gibson
3–7
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Talia Gibson at Toronto?
Ekaterina Alexandrova won 5-7 6-1 6-3.
Was the Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Talia Gibson prediction correct?
We got this one right. Ekaterina Alexandrova was our 55% pick, and won 5-7 6-1 6-3.