Elena Gabriela Ruse and Elise Mertens meet in the round of 16 at Hertogenbosch on Thursday. Elise Mertens has won 5 of the last 10. Elena Gabriela Ruse has won 6 of the last 10.
Elise Mertens leads the head-to-head 3-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On grass specifically it reads 1-0 Mertens — worth more than the overall number this week.
Elise Mertens simply rates much higher on grass, and our number follows from it. Ruse comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Mertens.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Elena Gabriela Ruse | Elise Mertens |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 56.8% | 59.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 63.6% | 63.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 43.5% | 43.2% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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