A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Elena Gabriela Ruse goes up against Magda Linette in the Cincinnati first round. Magda Linette is 5-5 across recent matches. Elena Gabriela Ruse comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Magda Linette is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Linette around 58%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Linette is exactly that — a lean.