Iga Swiatek won by retirement (4-1)
This match ended in a retirement, advancing Iga Swiatek. It is excluded from our graded record — no pick is counted as right or wrong.
Elena Rybakina and Iga Swiatek meet in the quarterfinal at Cincinnati on Thursday. Elena Rybakina brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Iga Swiatek is rolling — 9 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play.
Rybakina's 70% behind the first serve (against 63.9% for Swiatek) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Rybakina is exactly that — a lean.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Elena Rybakina | Iga Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 57.2% | 63% |
| 1st serve points won | 70% | 63.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.5% | 48.7% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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