Elena Rybakina won 6-2 6-4
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 90% on Elena Rybakina, who won 6-2 6-4.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Elena Rybakina goes up against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the US Open round of 64. Elena Rybakina is rolling — 5 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro has won 5 of the last 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Rybakina has been winning 70% of first-serve points to Maneiro's 59.5%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Maneiro needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Elena Rybakina | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 57.2% | 61.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 70% | 59.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.5% | 43.4% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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