A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Elena Rybakina goes up against Katie Boulter in the London quarterfinal. Elena Rybakina has won 6 of the last 10. Katie Boulter is 5-5 across recent matches.
The ledger favors Elena Rybakina, 2-0 across their 2 meetings with Katie Boulter. On grass specifically it reads 1-0 Rybakina — worth more than the overall number this week.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Rybakina is running on fumes after a brutal stretch of scheduling; Boulter is running on fumes after a brutal stretch of scheduling. If Rybakina plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.