Elena Rybakina won 6-2 6-2
Nailed it. We had Elena Rybakina at 79% before the match, and Elena Rybakina won 6-2 6-2.
It all comes down to Sunday at Ningbo, where Elena Rybakina faces Leylah Fernandez for the trophy. Elena Rybakina has won 9 of the last 10. Leylah Fernandez has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.
The serve is where this match separates: Rybakina has been winning 70% of first-serve points to Fernandez's 64.7%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. If Rybakina plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Elena Rybakina | Leylah Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 57.2% | 61.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 70% | 64.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.5% | 46.2% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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