Leylah Fernandez advanced by walkover
This match ended in a walkover, advancing Leylah Fernandez. It is excluded from our graded record — no pick is counted as right or wrong.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Elena Rybakina goes up against Leylah Fernandez in the Tokyo quarterfinal. Elena Rybakina brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Leylah Fernandez has won 7 of the last 10.
Rybakina's 70% behind the first serve (against 64.7% for Fernandez) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. If Rybakina plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Elena Rybakina | Leylah Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 57.2% | 61.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 70% | 64.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.5% | 46.2% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.