Elena Rybakina won 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4
Nailed it. We had Elena Rybakina at 69% before the match, and Elena Rybakina won 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Elena Rybakina goes up against Naomi Osaka in the Toronto quarterfinal. Elena Rybakina is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play. Naomi Osaka has won 8 of the last 10.
Elena Rybakina is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Rybakina around 69%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Rybakina.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Elena Rybakina | Naomi Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 57.2% | 58.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 70.1% | 71.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.4% | 46.4% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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