Thursday's Ningbo round of 16 pits Elena Rybakina against Polina Kudermetova on hard. Elena Rybakina has won 9 of the last 10. Polina Kudermetova comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Rybakina has been winning 70% of first-serve points to Kudermetova's 65.2%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Kudermetova needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Elena Rybakina | Polina Kudermetova |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 57.2% | 56.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 70% | 65.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.5% | 43.5% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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