Elena Rybakina and Tatjana Maria meet in the round of 16 at London on Friday. Elena Rybakina is 6-4 across recent matches. Tatjana Maria is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.
Nothing separates them historically — the head-to-head sits at 1-1. On grass specifically it reads 1-0 Maria — worth more than the overall number this week.
Hold strength tells the story — 70.1% versus 65.7% on first-serve points in Rybakina's favor. Maria comes in off a compressed schedule. Rybakina should have enough here, though Maria has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.