Thursday's Tokyo round of 16 pits Elena Rybakina against Yulia Putintseva on hard. Elena Rybakina brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Yulia Putintseva comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Rybakina has been winning 70% of first-serve points to Putintseva's 60%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. If Rybakina plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Elena Rybakina | Yulia Putintseva |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 57.2% | 69.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 70% | 60% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.5% | 45.6% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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