A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Eliakim Coulibaly goes up against Max Alcala Gurri in the Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) round of 32. Max Alcala Gurri brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Eliakim Coulibaly has won 5 of the last 10.

Max Alcala Gurri simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Gurri.