Elina Svitolina and Maria Sakkari meet in the round of 32 at Beijing on Monday. Elina Svitolina comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Maria Sakkari is 6-4 across recent matches.

Elina Svitolina is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Svitolina around 69%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Svitolina.