Friday's Wuhan quarterfinal pits Elina Svitolina against Sonay Kartal on hard. Elina Svitolina comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Sonay Kartal comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Elina Svitolina simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Svitolina comes in off a compressed schedule; Kartal comes in off a compressed schedule. Svitolina should have enough here, though Kartal has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.