Wednesday's Washington round of 16 pits Elisabetta Cocciaretto against Emma Navarro on hard. Elisabetta Cocciaretto has won 4 of the last 10. Emma Navarro is 7-3 across recent matches.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Cocciaretto fractionally more likely to land the big points.