Wednesday's Washington round of 16 pits Elisabetta Cocciaretto against Emma Navarro on hard. Elisabetta Cocciaretto has won 4 of the last 10. Emma Navarro is 7-3 across recent matches.
Elisabetta Cocciaretto is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Cocciaretto around 55%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Cocciaretto fractionally more likely to land the big points.