Friday's Cincinnati first round pits Elisabetta Cocciaretto against Lucrezia Stefanini on hard. Elisabetta Cocciaretto comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Lucrezia Stefanini is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (3 of the last 10).

The serve is where this match separates: Cocciaretto has been winning 60.8% of first-serve points to Stefanini's 55.1%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Anything other than a Cocciaretto win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.