Cincinnati · R128 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 14, 2026, 3:10 PM UTC
Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Lucrezia Stefanini — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · August 14, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
Share result
Result
Not graded
Lucrezia Stefanini won by retirement (5-3)
This match ended in a retirement, advancing Lucrezia Stefanini. It is excluded from our graded record — no pick is counted as right or wrong.
Friday's Cincinnati first round pits Elisabetta Cocciaretto against Lucrezia Stefanini on hard. Elisabetta Cocciaretto comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Lucrezia Stefanini is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (3 of the last 10).
The serve is where this match separates: Cocciaretto has been winning 60.8% of first-serve points to Stefanini's 55.1%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Anything other than a Cocciaretto win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
1776
Lucrezia Stefanini
1513
Overall rating
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
1796
Lucrezia Stefanini
1604
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lucrezia Stefanini
1st serve in
66%
73.8%
1st serve points won
60.8%
55.1%
2nd serve points won
47.2%
42.9%
Form
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
4–6
Lucrezia Stefanini
3–7
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Lucrezia Stefanini at Cincinnati?
Lucrezia Stefanini won 5-3 by retirement.
Was the Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Lucrezia Stefanini prediction correct?
This match ended in a retirement, advancing Lucrezia Stefanini. It is excluded from our graded record — no pick is counted as right or wrong.