Elise Mertens won 6-2 3-6 6-3
Nailed it. We had Elise Mertens at 61% before the match, and Elise Mertens won 6-2 3-6 6-3.
Elise Mertens and Jelena Ostapenko meet in the round of 32 at Beijing on Monday. Elise Mertens comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Jelena Ostapenko is 6-4 across recent matches.
Elise Mertens is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Mertens around 61%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Mertens.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Elise Mertens | Jelena Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.7% | 56% |
| 1st serve points won | 63.5% | 64.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 43.2% | 43.3% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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