Tuesday's US Open first round pits Elise Mertens against Kaitlin Quevedo on hard. Elise Mertens comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Kaitlin Quevedo is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (5 of the last 10).
Mertens's 63.4% behind the first serve (against 60.1% for Quevedo) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. The edge belongs to Mertens — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Elise Mertens | Kaitlin Quevedo |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.6% | 63.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 63.4% | 60.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 43.2% | 45.4% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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