Leylah Fernandez won 6-2 7-6(8)
A miss: Elise Mertens at 50% lost to Leylah Fernandez (6-2 7-6(8)).
Elise Mertens and Leylah Fernandez meet in the round of 16 at Tokyo on Thursday. Elise Mertens has won 5 of the last 10. Leylah Fernandez comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Mertens is exactly that — a lean.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Elise Mertens | Leylah Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.7% | 61.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 63.5% | 64.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 43.2% | 46.2% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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