A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Elise Mertens goes up against Marie Bouzkova in the Wimbledon round of 16. Marie Bouzkova is rolling — 9 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Elise Mertens brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.
Elise Mertens has had the better of this rivalry, winning 2 of 3 against Marie Bouzkova.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Mertens comes in off a compressed schedule; Bouzkova comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Bouzkova is exactly that — a lean.