Naomi Osaka won 6-3 3-6 7-5
Nailed it. We had Naomi Osaka at 59% before the match, and Naomi Osaka won 6-3 3-6 7-5.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Elise Mertens goes up against Naomi Osaka in the US Open round of 32. Naomi Osaka has won 7 of the last 10. Elise Mertens has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall.
Hold strength tells the story — 70.9% versus 63.4% on first-serve points in Osaka's favor. Little separates them; Osaka gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Elise Mertens | Naomi Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.6% | 58.5% |
| 1st serve points won | 63.4% | 70.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 43.2% | 46.7% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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