French Open · R128 · Clay · best of 3 · May 25, 2026, 6:15 PM UTC

Ella Seidel vs. Jelena Ostapenko — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 25, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

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Jelena Ostapenko won 6-4 6-4 · May 25, 2026, 8:16 PM UTC

Graded: correct. Our final pre-match number was 54% on Jelena Ostapenko, and Jelena Ostapenko won 6-4 6-4.

Monday's French Open first round pits Ella Seidel against Jelena Ostapenko on clay. Jelena Ostapenko has won 6 of the last 10. Ella Seidel limps in on a 5-match losing skid, just 1 wins in 10.

Jelena Ostapenko leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Ostapenko — worth more than the overall number this week.

Jelena Ostapenko simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Ostapenko fractionally more likely to land the big points.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Ella Seidel

1531

Jelena Ostapenko

1791

Overall rating

Ella Seidel

1524

Jelena Ostapenko

1814

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Ella Seidel	Jelena Ostapenko
1st serve in	57.4%	56%
1st serve points won	63.9%	64.9%
2nd serve points won	43.8%	43.3%

Form

Ella Seidel

1–9

Jelena Ostapenko

6–4

Head to head

Jelena Ostapenko leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Jelena Ostapenko.

Full Seidel vs Ostapenko history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Ella Seidel vs Jelena Ostapenko at French Open?: Jelena Ostapenko won 6-4 6-4.
Was the Ella Seidel vs Jelena Ostapenko prediction correct?: Graded: correct. Our final pre-match number was 54% on Jelena Ostapenko, and Jelena Ostapenko won 6-4 6-4.
What is the head-to-head record between Ella Seidel and Jelena Ostapenko?: Jelena Ostapenko leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Jelena Ostapenko.