Matej Dodig won 3-6 6-3 6-2
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 63% on Matej Dodig, who won 3-6 6-3 6-2.
Sunday brings the Braga final: Elmer Moller against Matej Dodig. Matej Dodig is rolling — 3 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Elmer Moller has won 4 in a row and 5 of the last 10 overall.
The serve is where this match separates: Dodig has been winning 70.5% of first-serve points to Moller's 64.1%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Moller comes in off a compressed schedule; Dodig comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Dodig.
Clay rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Elmer Moller | Matej Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 61% | 61.3% |
| 1st serve points won | 64.1% | 70.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.2% | 48.3% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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