A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Elmer Moller goes up against Zsombor Piros in the Braga round of 16. Zsombor Piros is 7-3 across recent matches. Elmer Moller comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Piros.