Elsa Jacquemot and Kayla Day meet in the round of 16 at Barranquilla on Wednesday. Elsa Jacquemot has won 3 of the last 10. Kayla Day comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Jacquemot comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Jacquemot fractionally more likely to land the big points.