A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Elsa Jacquemot goes up against Liudmila Samsonova in the Guadalajara round of 32. Liudmila Samsonova has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Elsa Jacquemot brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten.
Samsonova's 69.2% behind the first serve (against 64.4% for Jacquemot) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Samsonova is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Elsa Jacquemot | Liudmila Samsonova |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.9% | 55.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 64.4% | 69.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 40.5% | 46.6% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.