Elsa Jacquemot and Magdalena Frech meet in the first round at Beijing on Wednesday. Magdalena Frech has won 5 of the last 10. Elsa Jacquemot is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10).

Magdalena Frech is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Frech around 62%. Frech should have enough here, though Jacquemot has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.