A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Elsa Jacquemot goes up against Mayar Sherif in the Hamburg round of 16. Mayar Sherif brings a 9-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Elsa Jacquemot has won 3 of the last 10.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Jacquemot comes in off a compressed schedule; Sherif comes in off a compressed schedule. If Sherif plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Elsa Jacquemot | Mayar Sherif |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 61.4% | 74.9% |
| 1st serve points won | 65.2% | 58.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 39.8% | 43.9% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.