Elvina Kalieva and Oleksandra Oliynykova meet in the first round at Cincinnati on Friday. Oleksandra Oliynykova has won 5 of the last 10. Elvina Kalieva limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

Oleksandra Oliynykova simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Oliynykova.