A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Emiliana Arango goes up against Paula Badosa in the Bastad round of 16. Emiliana Arango has won 4 of the last 10. Paula Badosa is 3-7 across recent matches.
There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Arango is exactly that — a lean.