Emiliana Arango and Peyton Stearns meet in the round of 32 at Guadalajara on Sunday. Peyton Stearns is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10). Emiliana Arango has won 3 of the last 10.

Peyton Stearns simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Stearns is exactly that — a lean.