Emma Navarro and Iva Jovic meet in the round of 64 at French Open on Thursday. Iva Jovic brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten. Emma Navarro has won 6 of the last 10.

They have split their 2 previous meetings evenly at 1-1. On clay they're dead even at 1-1 — worth more than the overall number this week.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Navarro comes in off a compressed schedule; Jovic comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Jovic.