Jessica Pegula won 3-6 6-4 6-3
Nailed it. We had Jessica Pegula at 77% before the match, and Jessica Pegula won 3-6 6-4 6-3.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Emma Navarro goes up against Jessica Pegula in the US Open quarterfinal. Jessica Pegula has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Emma Navarro is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Navarro needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Emma Navarro | Jessica Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 63.6% | 61% |
| 1st serve points won | 62.1% | 63.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 45.9% | 47.9% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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