Wednesday's Bari (Italy) round of 16 pits Enrico Dalla Valle against Zsombor Piros on clay. Zsombor Piros is 7-3 across recent matches. Enrico Dalla Valle limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

Zsombor Piros simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. If Piros plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.