Thursday's US Open round of 64 pits Eva Lys against Mirra Andreeva on hard. Mirra Andreeva is 6-4 across recent matches. Eva Lys has dropped 4 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 63.5% versus 58.6% on first-serve points in Andreeva's favor. Lys needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.