Saturday's Bonn semifinal pits F. A. Gomez against Jan Choinski on clay. Jan Choinski brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. F. A. Gomez is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.
Jan Choinski simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Gomez comes in off a compressed schedule; Choinski comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Choinski — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.