Monday's Stuttgart round of 32 pits Fabian Marozsan against Gauthier Onclin on grass. Gauthier Onclin comes in at 1 wins from the last ten. Fabian Marozsan is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10).

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Onclin is exactly that — a lean.