Sunday's Hangzhou quarterfinal pits Fabian Marozsan against Kyrian Jacquet on hard. Kyrian Jacquet has won 4 of the last 10. Fabian Marozsan brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.

Kyrian Jacquet simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Jacquet fractionally more likely to land the big points.