Thursday's Winston-Salem round of 16 pits Fabian Marozsan against Martin Damm on hard. Martin Damm has won 4 of the last 10. Fabian Marozsan has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Damm has been winning 77.3% of first-serve points to Marozsan's 69.6%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Marozsan comes in off a compressed schedule; Damm comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Damm fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Fabian Marozsan | Martin Damm |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.9% | 61.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.6% | 77.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50.2% | 52% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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