US Open · R128 · Hard · best of 5 · Sep 2, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC
Fabian Marozsan vs. Michael Zheng — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · September 2, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Fabian Marozsan goes up against Michael Zheng in the US Open first round. Fabian Marozsan has won 5 of the last 10. Michael Zheng has won 6 of the last 10.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Marozsan fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-105(51.1% Marozsan)
Market+148(40.3% Marozsan)
Sources: Market consensus (average across books). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Fabian Marozsan
1754
Michael Zheng
1787
Overall rating
Fabian Marozsan
1810
Michael Zheng
1778
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Fabian Marozsan
Michael Zheng
1st serve in
64.6%
59.1%
1st serve points won
69.6%
72%
2nd serve points won
50.2%
50.8%
Form
Fabian Marozsan
5–5
Michael Zheng
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
Who is predicted to win Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng?
Maiden gives Fabian Marozsan a 51% chance to beat Michael Zheng in the US Open first round on September 2, 2026.
How confident is the Fabian Marozsan pick?
51% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 51%, picks in that range have won 52% of the time (201 so far). See the track record page for the full table.